My theme today is difficult to formulate because it deals
with “laws” that are genuine enough but are not laws we can test using the kinds of experiments
that yield reliable Laws of Nature. Today I’m interested in two such laws, one
in the economic and one in the international sphere. When the laws are
violated, chaos tends to be the inevitable result.
An Economic Law
The economic law I have in mind is that just societies
require a balance between freedom and its constraint. Freedom is to let people
do. Constraint must come from government. If the organized power is abused, all
but a relatively small portion of the population will become impoverished. If
free markets are abused, all but a relatively small portion of the population
will become impoverished as well because Monopoly will become a genuine fact of
life. Rightly defined, monopoly is simply excessive power in the hands of a
few. For this reason widespread economic inequality is a form of monopoly.
We are now violating that law because government is becoming
an instrument of economic power—rather than its regulator. As a consequence of
that, we’re witnessing the formations of classes that combat with one another.
The sense of social unity, not surprisingly, is fraying quite visibly—even at
the neighborhood level. Cracks are appearing all over the place. Calling them
ethnic or racial is an altogether secondary phenomenon. The family is beginning
to fail as an institution. Deadlocks are appearing everywhere—and when resolved
are resolved only temporarily.
Income inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient. It
stood at 0.397 in 1967 and at 0.477 in 2012 as measured at the household level—a 20 percent
increase. A Gini of zero represents total equality; therefore the higher the ratio the greater the inequality. The U.S. is one of the more
unequal economies in the world. The decline of families is illustrated by the
drastic decline in the proportion that married-couple families with children
represent among total households. That number was 40.3 percent in 1970 and 19.6
percent in 2012. By contrast, households with children headed by single adults were 10.6
percent of households in 1970, 17.8 percent in 2012. Two thirds of these
households are headed by women.
A sign of fraying unity is the militarization of police—almost as if new borders are springing up inside the United States.
An International Law
The law I have in mind here is that sovereignty ought to be
restricted to definable geographical territories. This means that nations should
defend their territories, not their
interests. Interests are almost impossible to define precisely enough to
implement a policy of defending them coherently. Such is clearly the case today
when I view the American reaction of the Islamic State’s expansions from Syria
into Iraq. It does not threaten U.S. territory in any real
sense. The only real solution would be to incorporate Syria and Iraq into the
U.S. domain by outright conquest. And doing so would violate other long
standing international laws.
The shift in the use of our national military—from defense
of our borders to the pursuit of such intangibles as “national interest”
matches our equipping local police with armored vehicles and the like
domestically.
I wonder where these deviations from sensible obedience to
visible laws will lead. I can extend the trends I see into the future by
imagination—absent any genuinely effective and forceful reform—such as those,
for instance, that Teddy Roosevelt undertook to curb the power of the trusts.
The scenario that urges recognition is the separation of the United States into
independent regions. Will that eventually take place? I think yes—unless we
manage to “reinvent” the concept of governance somehow before the shatter takes
an effective hold.
As for the international problem of trying to be the United
States of the Globe, that effort, I fear, will have to wait until we’ve managed
put our house in order again. And once that happens, we’ll probably be happy
just to defend our borders.