Reading the papers this morning, I have the feeling of
looking at the world from the edge of eternity. Observable is the age-old tug
and pull of conflict. If I were transported in time to any earlier period, I
would soon see it again if only I had the same lens modernity’s media have
fashioned in our times. And it is certain that transported into a very far
future, my report would not change, not in essence.
People who unrealistically long for the return of some
Golden Age have essentially the same stance as those who believe in Progress.
They’re living in the now and project some hoped-for resolution on the
horizontal plane of time: the past shall return; the breakthrough is in the
future. Our lives, however, are always in the Age of Iron—no matter what the
cultural stage: growing, declining, transitional, or static.
One of the curious aspects of change over long periods of
time is the contrast between culture and technology. By technology here I
simply mean “tooling.” Cultures cycle. Technology cumulates. The discovery of
steam-power and fossil fuels gave the last two centuries a sudden and enormous
increase in tooling—but the improvements have been there, at the level of
tooling—not at the level of core human behavior. That genuine improvement has
produced the illusion of some kind of radical change in humanity. To be sure
fossil fuels will be exhausted, but using energy in new ways will remain a
permanent acquisition. The next Dark Age will have quite different features
than the last; we’ll have plenty of solar panels, windmills, fancy explosives
to help us get to geothermal sources, and so on. To be sure, also, the loss of
wealth from heaven (or from the deep) that coal, oil, and gas represent will
produce significant disorder; during such times innovation grows dormant,
except in the military sphere, but knowledge is never entirely lost.
Technology, therefore, will continue to cumulate.
Hard-nosed realism, curiously, requires a transcendental
view. It rests on the fusion of comprehensive observations both of what lies
within us, not least our hopes for a “millennium,” and what we see around us.
This suggests a “fallen world” and also a “world beyond.”
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